Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.141436 0.160812 0.182276 0.207888 0.237707 0.271434 0.312622
2026-01-11 0.111098 0.136983 0.168456 0.209851 0.263321 0.330677 0.422931
2026-01-18 0.094638 0.123708 0.161536 0.215033 0.289821 0.392283 0.546120
2026-01-25 0.082072 0.112271 0.153715 0.215818 0.308394 0.444343 0.664928
2026-02-01 0.072501 0.102996 0.146753 0.215622 0.324116 0.493409 0.787758
2026-02-08 0.064548 0.094708 0.139674 0.213536 0.335700 0.536943 0.909522
2026-02-15 0.057971 0.087510 0.133065 0.210810 0.345178 0.577774 1.034267
2026-02-22 0.054066 0.083884 0.131406 0.215598 0.367580 0.644059 1.219812
2026-03-01 0.049240 0.078190 0.125636 0.212431 0.375131 0.684258 1.362787
2026-03-08 0.045694 0.074192 0.122169 0.212714 0.388822 0.738127 1.546391
2026-03-15 0.042528 0.070488 0.118750 0.212527 0.401390 0.791676 1.741995
2026-03-22 0.040430 0.068409 0.117934 0.217050 0.423907 0.869869 2.015232
2026-03-29 0.038182 0.065891 0.116136 0.219604 0.443167 0.945642 2.306581
2026-04-05 0.036167 0.063611 0.114547 0.222397 0.463497 1.028223 2.641628
2026-04-12 0.034678 0.062159 0.114367 0.228049 0.491134 1.134020 3.075574
2026-04-19 0.032797 0.059776 0.112099 0.228907 0.507748 1.215779 3.465821
2026-04-26 0.030984 0.057358 0.109508 0.228701 0.521750 1.293725 3.871310
2026-05-03 0.029142 0.054723 0.106210 0.226469 0.530347 1.358891 4.258039
2026-05-10 0.027404 0.052152 0.102801 0.223554 0.536732 1.419297 4.651022
2026-05-17 0.026503 0.051219 0.102784 0.228675 0.565253 1.551311 5.362703
2026-05-24 0.024978 0.048859 0.099442 0.225287 0.570004 1.611974 5.820970
2026-05-31 0.023859 0.047270 0.097665 0.225590 0.585245 1.709754 6.476544
2026-06-07 0.022785 0.045697 0.095780 0.225390 0.599059 1.806444 7.173284